-
Markets rally to
new highs. Sensex gains 152 points.
- Lower volumes,
positive breadth as FII's ramp up sentiments.
-
Weekly statistics
The
value of shares advancing was Rs. 32,448 crores ( previous
week Rs. 36,965 crores ) and the value of shares
declining was Rs. 13,021 crores ( previous week Rs. 16,335 crores
). This
indicates a buying bias. The
total traded volume on the BSE was Rs. 21,030 Crores
( previous week Rs. 29,977 Crores ). The total traded volume
on the NSE was Rs. 24,827 Crores ( previous
week Rs. 23,456 Crores ).
The markets have celebrated
a bull dance in the pre-christmas week as the indices surged to their new
lifetime highs. The traded volumes were marginally lower as the festive
season coupled with nervousness laced sentiments. The market breadth was
positive and the undertone was optimistic. The rally came from the old
economy stocks as the technology sector was dogged by a weak US $. The Sensex was boosted
by ACC, Bajaj Auto, Bharti Tele, BHEL, Cipla,
Dr Reddy, Grasim, Guj Amb Cements, HDFC Bank, Hero Honda, HPCL, Hindalco,
ICICI Bank, ITC, L&T, Maruti, ONGC, Reliance Energy, Reliance Inds, SBI,
Telco, Tata Power and Tisco. The Sensex was dragged down by
HDFC, Hind Lever, Infosys, MTNL, Ranbaxy, Satyam
Computers, Wipro and Zee Telefilms. The Rupee ended
the week at 43.79 levels (
00.14 ) against the US $. Overall, the
week was completely in line with our expectations.
Click here to view the previous weeks report.
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The markets are likely
to take note of crude prices which are easing as the Nymex closed at
US $ 44.18 / barrel ( previous week US $ 46.28 / barrel )
-
The FII inflows are
continuing to remain positive with Rs 710 Crs recorded this week (
previous week Rs. 1135 Crs ). The slowdown can be attributed to the
festive holidays.
-
The F&O indicators
point towards a rising open interest which is indicating higher risk
appetite among the bulls. At the same time the Nifty PCR is testing
record highs. The outlook looks positive.
-
The INR has gained
against the US $, which is likely to keep the technology stocks top
heavy. Being heavily weighted in the indices, this sector will drag
the markets.
-
The Reliance imbroglio
is likely to ease this week as the sweat equity issue and the buyback
are likely to attract trader focus.
-
The market breadth
points towards a firm undertone as the bulls have managed to maintain
a hold on the sentiments.
-
The overseas markets have
gained sharply to test 3 1/2 year highs as improved employment /
consumer spending / earnings data lifted sentiments. This is likely to
have a trickle down effect on the domestic markets.
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- Vijay L Bhambwani
The author is
a Mumbai based investment consultant and
invites feedback at Vijay@BSPLindia.com
and ( 022 ) 23438482 / 23400345.
SEBI
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