-
Markets crawl
higher. Sensex gains 15 points
- Lower volumes,
positive breadth as stocks witness late rally
-
Weekly statistics
The
BSE & NSE combined weekly value of shares advancing was Rs. 30,576 crores
( previous week Rs. 53,362 crores ) and the commensurate value of shares
declining was Rs. 15,363 crores ( previous week Rs. 20,032 crores
). This
indicates a buying bias. The
total weekly traded volume on the BSE was Rs. 22,209 Crores
( previous week Rs. 44,648 Crores ). The total
weekly traded volume
on the NSE was Rs. 25,023 Crores ( previous
week Rs. 28,962 Crores ).
The week was marked by
lower volumes and a subdued undertone. The markets managed to hold on to
their gains on a week-on-week basis due to the sheer gains in the
technology sector which saved the week. The retail participation was
wanting and the index heavy weights appeared top heavy. The saving grace
was the positive market breadth and the continued FII inflows. The Sensex was boosted
by ACC, Bajaj Auto, BHEL, Dr Reddy, HDFC Bank, Hero
Honda, HPCL, ICICI Bank, Infosys, L&T, Maruti, MTNL, Reliance Inds, Satyam
Computers, SBI, Telco, Tata Power and Tisco. The Sensex was dragged down by
Bharti Tele, Cipla, Grasim, Guj Ambuja Cements, HDFC,
Hind Lever, Hindalco, ITC, ONGC, Ranbaxy, Reliance Energy, Wipro and Zee
Telefilms. The Rupee ended
the week at 43.80 levels (
00.53 ) against the US $. Overall, the
week was completely in line with our expectations.
Click here to view the previous weeks report.
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The markets are likely
to take note of crude prices which are rising marginally at US $ 47.16
/ barrel ( previous week US $ 46.48 / barrel ).
-
The FII inflows are
positive with investments of Rs 630 Crs during Feb 7 - 10. That is
likely to imbibe confidence among the bulls.
-
The F&O indicators
point towards a rising open interest which shows a higher risk
appetite among the bulls. The Nifty PCR is now at the 1.09 : 1.
The traded volumes however have been lower.
-
The market breadth
points towards a bullish undertone as the weekly figures remain
positive. Of the entire transacted volume during the week on BSE & NSE,
18 % was transacted on downtick days. The remaining was initiated on
positive market days. That is a sign of optimism.
-
The INR is sliding
against the US $ and that will in turn firm up the technology
counters. Being heavily weighted in the indices, the markets are
likely to get a cause for cheer.
-
The overseas markets have
been firm and are likely to have a trickle down effect on the domestic
markets also.
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- Vijay L Bhambwani
The author is
a Mumbai based investment consultant and
invites feedback at Vijay@BSPLindia.com
and ( 022 ) 23438482 / 23400345.
SEBI
disclosure - The author
has no positions in the stocks
mentioned above.
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