-
Markets log record
highs. Sensex gains 105 points.
- Higher volumes,
positive breadth as the year ends on bullish note.
-
Weekly statistics
The
BSE & NSE combined weekly value of shares advancing was Rs. 32,769 crores
( previous week Rs 32,448 crores ) and the value of shares
declining was Rs. 15,019 crores ( previous week Rs 13,021 crores
). This
indicates a buying bias. The
total weekly traded volume on the BSE was Rs. 23,922 Crores
( previous week Rs 21,030 Crores ). The total
weekly traded volume
on the NSE was Rs. 24,423 Crores (
previous week Rs 24,827 Crores ).
The week gone by has seen a
bullish undertone as the benchmark indices continued their upmove for the
third week in a row. The traded volumes were marginally higher then
the previous week and the sentiments were clearly bullish. The positive
market breadth shows a level of confidence in the markets among the bulls
that re-affirms our faith in the sustainability of the upmove. The FII
inflows continued unabated and the year closed with a record high closing. The Sensex was boosted
by ACC, Bajaj Auto, Bharti Tele, BHEL, Cipla,
Dr Reddy, Grasim, Guj Amb Cements, HDFC, HDFC Bank, Hero Honda, HPCL,
Hindalco, Infosys, ITC, L&T, Ranbaxy, Reliance Inds, Satyam Computers, SBI,
Tata Power and Tisco. The Sensex was dragged down by
Hind Lever, ICICI Bank, Maruti, MTNL, ONGC, Reliance
Energy, Telco, Wipro and Zee Telefilms. The Rupee ended
the week at 43.42 levels (
00.37 ) against the US $. Overall, the
week was completely in line with our expectations.
Click here to view the previous weeks report.
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-
The markets are likely
to take note of crude prices which are easing at US $ 43.45 / barrel (
previous week US $ 44.18 / barrel ).
-
The FII inflows are
continuing to remain positive inspite of the holiday season and Rs 580
Crs inflows were reported in the first 4 days of the week.
-
The strong INR v/s the
US $ is likely to keep the technology stocks suppressed. Being heavily
weighted in the indices, tech stocks are likely to be a minor drag on
the indices.
-
The F&O indicators
point towards a marginal fall in the open interest after expiry. The
bears show a tendency towards squaring up shorts at lower levels. That
signals an optimistic approach.
-
The coming weeks will
see two main triggers - earnings and FII allocation figures. Players
need to watch the newsflow on these fronts.
-
The market breadth
points towards a bullish undertone and the profit taking at higher
levels is getting absorbed.
-
The overseas markets have
shown a lack lustre mood as the holidays impacted the trading volumes.
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- Vijay L Bhambwani
The author is
a Mumbai based investment consultant and
invites feedback at Vijay@BSPLindia.com
and ( 022 ) 23438482 / 23400345.
SEBI
disclosure - The author
has no positions in the stocks
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