-
Markets creep
higher. Sensex gains 23 points.
- Higher volumes,
positive breadth as bulls attempt comeback.
-
Weekly
statistics
The
value of BSE & NSE combined weekly value of shares advancing was Rs. 19,180 crores
( previous week Rs 15,891 crs ) and the value of shares
declining was Rs. 12,808 crores ( previous week Rs 12,949 crs
). This
indicates a broader buying bias. The
total weekly traded volume on the BSE was Rs. 10,208 Crores
( previous week Rs 9,140 crs ). The total traded volume
on the NSE was Rs. 22,069 Crores ( previous week
Rs 20,632 crs ).
The markets saw an improved
undertone as the volumes and sentiments picked up. The technology stocks
gave a pleasant surprise by way of bonuses and earnings guidance. The
market breadth was positive and the capitalisation was positive too.
Traded volumes picked up too and that is a heartening signal. The bulls
attempted to wrest back the initiative from the bears and build long
positions. The Sensex was boosted by ACC,
Bajaj Auto, Bharati Tele, BHEL, Cipla, Grasim, Guj Amb Cem, Hind Lever,
Infosys, MTNL, Satyam Computers, SBI, Telco, Tata Power, Wipro and Zee
Telefilms. The Sensex was
dragged down by BSES, Dr Reddy, HDFC Bank, HDFC,
Hero Honda, HPCL, Hindalco, ITC, L&T, ONGC, Ranbaxy, Reliance and Tisco. The rupee ended the
week at 43.94
levels (
00.32 ) against the US $.
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The markets are likely to
be governed by the results and elections in the short term. The traded
volumes are improved and there is a qualitative improvement in the traded
pattern. However, the overall picture needs to improve on even heavier
volumes and positive market breadth and an increase in outstanding open
positions. The technology sector will play a major role in the market
trends due to the sheer weightage factor alone. The important developments
to watch in the coming week will be results and the way the open interest
fluctuates before expiry of the April contracts. Should the open interest
rally with good volumes, retail participation will improve. The cement and
banking sectors will lead the charge in the markets.
The overseas markets have
been more or less steady and are unlikely to influence the domestic
markets in a major way. Overall, we expect a crucial week ahead.
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-
- Vijay L Bhambwani
The author is
a Mumbai based investment consultant and
invites feedback at Vijay@BSPLindia.com
and ( 022 ) 23438482 / 23400345.
SEBI
disclosure - The author
has no positions in the stocks
mentioned above.
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